Monday, January 3, 2022

Wilshire Quarterly Market Commentary — Fourth Quarter 2021

Sharply rising inflation will likely be remembered as the economic story of 2021. Increases in CPI have reached rates not seen in 40 years. Food and energy prices are up meaningfully, but so too are the major “core” CPI items of automobiles and apparel. Consumers’ ability to manage this period will help determine whether the U.S. can continue its economic progress. The employment picture is quite strong, including an unemployment rate approaching 4% and continued above-trend growth in wages. However, the personal savings rate has fallen to a level last seen in late-2017, suggesting that consumers are saving less as they adjust to rising prices. Inflation and new COVID variants are likely behind depressed consumer sentiment surveys.
Wilshire Quarterly Market Commentary — Fourth Quarter 2021
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